Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.363357 0.473985 0.594616 0.734040 0.889046 1.054607 1.243406
2025-07-27 0.237265 0.389105 0.572055 0.799695 1.067868 1.367642 1.722545
2025-08-03 0.170380 0.338449 0.557017 0.842736 1.191383 1.591259 2.074224
2025-08-10 0.111296 0.280318 0.519942 0.849143 1.264274 1.751380 2.349821
2025-08-17 0.056466 0.207130 0.448032 0.799520 1.259354 1.812130 2.503210
2025-08-24 0.021355 0.145544 0.378893 0.743114 1.237888 1.846787 2.620564
2025-08-31 0.006563 0.110167 0.341190 0.723522 1.258712 1.929186 2.791509
2025-09-07 0.001288 0.090355 0.324793 0.731413 1.313501 2.052140 3.010198
2025-09-14 NaN 0.069364 0.300583 0.724218 1.345718 2.145155 3.191219
2025-09-21 NaN 0.049225 0.271347 0.705438 1.359555 2.213077 3.340086
2025-09-28 NaN 0.046322 0.280006 0.747339 1.457951 2.389581 3.623362
2025-10-05 NaN 0.045414 0.293193 0.796657 1.566898 2.579891 3.924052
2025-10-12 NaN 0.041569 0.299494 0.837140 1.667578 2.765091 4.225808
2025-10-19 NaN 0.043880 0.323138 0.908149 1.813393 3.010878 4.605557
2025-10-26 NaN 0.041319 0.332321 0.953942 1.922658 3.208676 4.925001
2025-11-02 NaN 0.032259 0.319668 0.960835 1.975246 3.332096 5.151255
2025-11-09 NaN 0.016699 0.275479 0.907805 1.938072 3.335816 5.225793
2025-11-16 NaN 0.005861 0.230691 0.847422 1.886276 3.317557 5.270458
2025-11-23 NaN 0.001949 0.208301 0.826413 1.891482 3.373829 5.408252
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000715 0.201069 0.834877 1.941363 3.490172 5.622736
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000014 0.186828 0.827159 1.965349 3.570871 5.791168
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.167922 0.807006 1.968621 3.622533 5.921675
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.178016 0.851949 2.075540 3.816891 6.236967